3. Cinema is dramaturgy, not a forecast
Films like “Star Wars,” “The Matrix,” “The Hunger Games,” “Divergent,” and
so on are myths about the heroism of the little man against the system. They
work because they give catharsis. Reality is usually dirtier, more tangled,
and less heroic.
But the struggle for freedom will never go away
The history of humanity is a constant cycle of the centralization of power →
abuses → resistance.
Possible scenarios of the future (speculations, but well-founded):
• Digital rebels and cyber-armies. Instead of physical armies — hackers,
developers of open-source tools, creators of decentralized networks (like the
future Tor, blockchain, mesh networks) who fight against total surveillance
and censorship. Already now there are movements for privacy, against digital
totalitarianism (an example — the disputes around CBDCs, digital passports,
the social credit score).
• Regional and decentralized revolts. In a strong crisis (climate, resources,
migration, economic collapse), zones may arise where central power
weakens, and local forces of resistance appear. But this will be more like a
mix of modern partisan wars, militarized communities, and separatists
than a Single Rebel Front.
• A struggle within the system. The most likely — it’s not an armed uprising, but
cultural, technological, and political resistance: the creation of parallel institutions,
alternative technologies, communities that minimize dependence on Big Brother.
The philosophy of “exit” instead of “voice.”
• AI and the post-human factor. If AI becomes very powerful, the conflict may
shift into the plane of “people who want to remain people” against those who
want full merging/control. Here real “rebels” may already appear — but
again, more in the form of network groups, dissident scientists, and engineers
than a classic army.